The probability that you choose correctly for the first time is 1/3.
Therefore, the probability that the car is in the other two doors is 2/3.
The host points out a door. If you initially chose incorrectly (with a probability of 2/3), then the remaining door definitely has the car.
If you initially chose correctly (with a probability of 1/3), the remaining door definitely has no car.
So after the host's prompt, if you don't switch, the correct probability is 1/3 * 100% + 2/3 * 0 = 1/3.
If you switch, the correct probability is 1/3 * 0 + 2/3 * 100% = 2/3.
Therefore, the probability that the car is in the other two doors is 2/3.
The host points out a door. If you initially chose incorrectly (with a probability of 2/3), then the remaining door definitely has the car.
If you initially chose correctly (with a probability of 1/3), the remaining door definitely has no car.
So after the host's prompt, if you don't switch, the correct probability is 1/3 * 100% + 2/3 * 0 = 1/3.
If you switch, the correct probability is 1/3 * 0 + 2/3 * 100% = 2/3.
ko20010214
=================================
大功告成,打个Kiss!
ko20010214@MSN.com
神州优雅Q300C
Intel CeleronM 370处理器 | 256MbDDR内存
40G硬盘 | USB2.0 | IEEE 1394
13.3 ' WXGA 宽屏(16:10) | COMBO光驱
10/100M网卡 | 四合一读卡器
=================================
大功告成,打个Kiss!
ko20010214@MSN.com
神州优雅Q300C
Intel CeleronM 370处理器 | 256MbDDR内存
40G硬盘 | USB2.0 | IEEE 1394
13.3 ' WXGA 宽屏(16:10) | COMBO光驱
10/100M网卡 | 四合一读卡器

